[Taxacom] Symposium: New Applications of Bayesian Inference in Phylogenetic Biology

[Hovenkamp, P. (Peter)]

Kirk,

Can you explain how Bayesian reasoning can be considered inductive?
As far as my understanding goes, it formalizes (or attempts to) the way
we informally assess the relevance of a particular piece of evidence to
a hypothesis. But the hypothesis is not inferred by the theorem, in no
...ductive way. 

Thanks,

Peter Hovenkamp
Nationaal Herbarium Nederland, Leiden branch
www.nationaalherbarium.nl 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: taxacom-bounces at mailman.nhm.ku.edu [mailto:taxacom-
> bounces at mailman.nhm.ku.edu] On Behalf Of J. Kirk Fitzhugh
> Sent: Wednesday, October 04, 2006 11:06 PM
> To: taxacom at mailman.nhm.ku.edu
> Subject: Re: [Taxacom] Symposium: New Applications of Bayesian
Inference
> in Phylogenetic Biology
> 
> Nico,
> 
> Could abstracts of the talks from the symposium be made available via
> taxacom? It would be fascinating to see how Bayes theorem, which is a
> strictly inductive procedure, will be justified as a means for
inferring
> explanatory (i.e. phylogenetic) hypotheses, which is strictly
abductive.
> The theorem is only capable of addressing changes in hypothesis belief
> contingent on test evidence (which cannot be shared similarities), not
the
> inference of the very hypothesis to which the theorem is to be
applied.
> 
> Thanks,
> Kirk
> 
> At 04:39 PM 10/4/2006 -0400, you wrote:
> >Announcing a Special Symposium! New Applications of Bayesian
> >Inference in Phylogenetic Biology
> 
> -----------------------------------------------------
> J. Kirk Fitzhugh, Ph.D.
> Curator of Polychaetes
> Invertebrate Zoology Section
> Research & Collections Branch
> Los Angeles County Museum of Natural History
> 900 Exposition Blvd
> Los Angeles CA 90007
> 
> Phone:   213-763-3233
> FAX:       213-746-2999
> e-mail:   kfitzhug at nhm.org
> http://www.nhm.org/research/annelida/staff.html
> http://www.nhm.org/research/annelida/index.html
> ----------------------------------------------------
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