[Taxacom] Symposium: New Applications of Bayesian Inference in Phylogenetic Biology

Don.Colless at csiro.au Don.Colless at csiro.au
Thu Oct 5 23:50:03 CDT 2006


Kirk, 

You've hit the nail right on the head! I can't claim to be well up on the Bayesian thing; BUT I too can't see how you infer an original hypothesis - as opposed to playing about with it later.

Don Colless,
Div of Entomology, CSIRO,
GPO Box 1700,
Canberra. 2601.
Email: don.colless at csiro.au
Tuz li munz est miens envirun 

-----Original Message-----
From:	taxacom-bounces at mailman.nhm.ku.edu on behalf of J. Kirk Fitzhugh
Sent:	Thu 10/5/2006 5:06 AM
To:	taxacom at mailman.nhm.ku.edu
Cc:	
Subject:	Re: [Taxacom] Symposium: New Applications of Bayesian Inference in Phylogenetic Biology

Nico,

Could abstracts of the talks from the symposium be made available via 
taxacom? It would be fascinating to see how Bayes theorem, which is a 
strictly inductive procedure, will be justified as a means for inferring 
explanatory (i.e. phylogenetic) hypotheses, which is strictly abductive. 
The theorem is only capable of addressing changes in hypothesis belief 
contingent on test evidence (which cannot be shared similarities), not the 
inference of the very hypothesis to which the theorem is to be applied.

Thanks,
Kirk

At 04:39 PM 10/4/2006 -0400, you wrote:
>Announcing a Special Symposium! New Applications of Bayesian
>Inference in Phylogenetic Biology

-----------------------------------------------------
J. Kirk Fitzhugh, Ph.D.
Curator of Polychaetes
Invertebrate Zoology Section
Research & Collections Branch
Los Angeles County Museum of Natural History
900 Exposition Blvd
Los Angeles CA 90007

Phone:   213-763-3233
FAX:       213-746-2999
e-mail:   kfitzhug at nhm.org
http://www.nhm.org/research/annelida/staff.html
http://www.nhm.org/research/annelida/index.html
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