Neomalthusianism rears its ugly head as predictably as clock-work. From
religious groups recycling the old "ire of God" to the new age variety that
this is Gaia sending a message and populists of all sorts using the crisis
to push their agendas. When the SHTF people revert to their primal
instincts and it is exhasperating.
On Mon, 6 Apr 2020, 12:01 Kenneth Kinman via Taxacom, <
taxacom at mailman.nhm.ku.edu> wrote:
> Hi All,
> The official number of deaths from COVID-19 is now over 69,000, and
> it might already be closer to 100,000 if the death toll in China has been
> vastly underestimated. But what concerns me most is that cases of this
> disease will eventually explode in places like Africa and South America,
> and that it can therefore never be completely controlled worldwide. Genus
> Betacoronavirus could therefore become as deadly as Alphainfluenzavirus
> (although probably not as deadly as tuberculosis or HIV, much less the Homo
> caused deaths).
> I am glad Prince Charles has recovered from COVID-19, but is it
> true that his father (Prince Philip) once said "In the event that I am
> reincarnated, I would like to return as a deadly virus, to contribute
> something to solving overpopulation.” That sounds like something that
> Malthus would also have said.
> ----------------------Ken
>
> ________________________________
> From: Taxacom <taxacom-bounces at mailman.nhm.ku.edu> on behalf of Kenneth
> Kinman via Taxacom <taxacom at mailman.nhm.ku.edu>
> Sent: Wednesday, March 25, 2020 1:05 PM
> To: taxacom at mailman.nhm.ku.edu <taxacom at mailman.nhm.ku.edu>
> Subject: [Taxacom] COVID-19 disease (and "deadliest genera")
>
> Hi All,
> I clearly underestimated the numbers of deaths that the world would
> probably suffer from COVID-19 disease, especially in Spain and Italy. The
> U.S. will hopefully fare better (than southern Europe) with a lower rate of
> multi-generational households and lower rates of smoking. In any case, I
> am now provisionally adding genus Betacoronavirus to the end of my list
> ("deadliest genera") as a temporary listing for 2020. See Below. We can
> hope that it will not be repeated in 2021 (with treatments and vaccines
> coming by then), and I will then take it back off of the list.
> Hopefully Prince Charles of England will continue to have a mild
> case of COVID-19, and that it would help reduce the panic and
> over-reactions. I certainly do not believe COVID-19 could kill 1.1-1.2
> million in the U.S. (the following weblink shows a prediction published on
> 16 March 2020: "even if all patients were able to be treated, we predict
> there would still be in the order of 250,000 deaths in GB, and 1.1-1.2
> million in the US."). Predictions during Ebola crisis also were also
> extremely pessimistic.
>
> https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
>
> Deadliest genera to humans in
> the 21st Century
>
> Homo via bad dietary choices (especially those derived from Saccharomyces,
> Bos, Zea, Saccharum, and/or Beta, i.e. excess consumption of sugars,
> alcohol, and/or red meat) (resulting in over 13,000,000 human deaths per
> year).
> Homo via Nicotiana, causing cancers from tobacco smoking and chewing (over
> 5,000,000 human deaths per year).
> Homo (humans killing over 400,000 humans per year, plus about 800,000
> suicides, totaling over 1,200,000 deaths per year).
> Mycobacterium, especially M. tuberculosis (over 1,200,000 human deaths per
> year).
> Lentavirus, causing HIV infections (over 900,000 deaths per year).
> Streptococcus, causing pneumonia and streptococcal meningitis (over
> 500,000 deaths per year).
> Plasmodium (Anopheles the vector) causing malaria (about 400,000 deaths
> per year).
> Alphainfluenzavirus, causing flu (290,000-645,000 human deaths per year).
> Treponema, causing syphilis (about 100,000 deaths per year, plus over
> 200,000 stillbirths and neonatal deaths; total over 300,000 deaths).
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
> Rotavirus, causing enteritis (over 150,000 human deaths per year).
> Salmonella, causing typhoid fever (over 100,000 human deaths per year).
> Neisseria, causing meningococcal meningitis (about 75,000 human deaths per
> year).
> Haemophilus, causing type b meningitis (about 70,000 human deaths per
> year).
> Entamoeba, causing amoebic dysentery (50,000-100,000 humans per year).
> Clostridium, causing tetanus (about 60,000 human deaths per year).
> Norovirus (over 50,000 human deaths per year; with some estimates as high
> as 200,000).
> Cryptosporidium, causing cryptosporidiosis (over 50,000 human deaths per
> year).
> Aedes (carrying several viral diseases) (over 50,000 human death per year).
> Schistosoma, causing schistosomiasis (about 50,000 deaths; about 200,000
> humans in the year 2000; but treatment programs have reduced the number).
> Bordetella, causing whooping cough (about 50,000 human deaths per year).
> Shigella, causing shigellosis (about 50,000 human deaths per year).
>
> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
> Temporary? addition:
> Betacoronavirus, causing COVID-19 disease (probably at least 50,000 deaths
> in 2020)
>
>
> ________________________________
> From: Taxacom <taxacom-bounces at mailman.nhm.ku.edu> on behalf of Kenneth
> Kinman via Taxacom <taxacom at mailman.nhm.ku.edu>
> Sent: Friday, March 13, 2020 9:02 AM
> To: taxacom at mailman.nhm.ku.edu <taxacom at mailman.nhm.ku.edu>
> Subject: Re: [Taxacom] covariates for corona virus virulence (and
> "deadliest genera")
>
> Hi All,
> I am beginning the think that the death toll (from COVID-19) may
> indeed reach 20,000 this year. The total number of infections could be
> about 2,000,000, which would agree with Fauci's estimate of a 1% death
> rate. I would think that the most reliable numbers are probably from
> South Korea (lots of testing there) which indicate a death rate of 1% or
> less.
> I am wondering what India (with a population well over a billion)
> is doing right to keep their numbers so low (only 81 cases and only one
> death). Many of those cases are connected to Italian tourists. Tourism
> (especially airplanes and cruise ships) seems to be the major cause of the
> worldwide spread. But I still think that the panic has probably done more
> harm than good. In the long run, it could divert funds from fighting
> diseases which cause far more deaths.
> ----------Ken
>
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> Nurturing nuance while assaulting ambiguity for about 33 years, 1987-2020.
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> Nurturing nuance while assaulting ambiguity for about 33 years, 1987-2020.
>